Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 88.698200 98.965244 109.441630 120.900573 133.051377 145.523114 159.263043
2025-03-09 73.290307 88.123315 103.900342 121.807982 141.451707 162.234750 185.777377
2025-03-16 62.477717 79.650140 98.503070 120.487308 145.181957 171.848987 202.611623
2025-03-23 55.957260 75.038631 96.556257 122.206893 151.566758 183.776242 221.446223
2025-03-30 50.925682 71.525573 95.321343 124.237487 157.867756 195.249751 239.462198
2025-04-06 45.206476 66.643073 92.025306 123.466192 160.606831 202.412949 252.383159
2025-04-13 39.341169 61.075161 87.485083 120.843222 160.863652 206.467241 261.533048
2025-04-20 37.339759 60.193364 88.483809 124.706907 168.627466 219.090629 280.437657
2025-04-27 34.904734 58.534728 88.352371 127.060014 174.490632 229.431180 296.662150
2025-05-04 31.416674 55.204664 85.898657 126.372231 176.554584 235.205621 307.494485
2025-05-11 28.130359 51.896488 83.270498 125.292033 177.999099 240.137006 317.251865
2025-05-18 25.898112 49.897476 82.219338 126.092755 181.660125 247.643572 329.995660
2025-05-25 23.434248 47.415716 80.437448 125.914468 184.112976 253.747330 341.171564
2025-06-01 21.502919 45.579210 79.424363 126.654685 187.661914 261.150327 353.894777
2025-06-08 19.078227 42.783993 76.937581 125.333746 188.514456 265.202023 362.549522
2025-06-15 17.821342 41.727475 76.811822 127.089237 193.232449 273.954384 376.848479
2025-06-22 16.761256 40.904024 76.959042 129.168869 198.339512 283.174787 391.717147
2025-06-29 14.985408 38.733340 75.051676 128.379167 199.688207 287.712222 400.881337
2025-07-06 12.881167 35.786536 71.851876 125.693767 198.477688 288.997388 406.025862
2025-07-13 12.588744 36.053802 73.447803 129.649258 205.953586 301.133381 424.457162
2025-07-20 11.947362 35.623183 73.951439 132.057722 211.387556 310.715118 439.771570
2025-07-27 10.651443 33.835463 72.289379 131.353802 212.663608 315.041043 448.606924
2025-08-03 9.384134 31.961481 70.397296 130.248189 213.349379 318.582334 456.447046